Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.681893 0.874868 1.092060 1.351738 1.650904 1.982032 2.373480
2025-07-06 0.389866 0.619170 0.912582 1.302237 1.793043 2.378445 3.116910
2025-07-13 0.235854 0.470856 0.812732 1.311897 1.989028 2.844942 3.977405
2025-07-20 0.140794 0.362744 0.731392 1.319574 2.170607 3.298976 4.849124
2025-07-27 0.075428 0.266749 0.636049 1.281330 2.274377 3.649579 5.602242
2025-08-03 0.037687 0.196304 0.557057 1.246247 2.368704 3.983661 6.342073
2025-08-10 0.019075 0.153360 0.512085 1.253732 2.520043 4.398670 7.202975
2025-08-17 0.007173 0.110620 0.448835 1.213365 2.586173 4.688044 7.895534
2025-08-24 0.003370 0.094512 0.440873 1.272638 2.815449 5.224679 8.951286
2025-08-31 0.000918 0.073216 0.408754 1.276373 2.948000 5.617863 9.810901
2025-09-07 0.000303 0.065852 0.414217 1.358098 3.219170 6.231751 11.005498
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.056301 0.407723 1.411595 3.441778 6.776031 12.110174
2025-09-21 NaN 0.044813 0.388580 1.435587 3.616766 7.259067 13.149530
2025-09-28 NaN 0.031160 0.349249 1.403918 3.685334 7.574401 13.947925
2025-10-05 NaN 0.023969 0.332513 1.424493 3.852989 8.054745 15.005984
2025-10-12 NaN 0.017889 0.314645 1.438024 4.006198 8.514616 16.041552
2025-10-19 NaN 0.011173 0.280934 1.400184 4.052817 8.796887 16.809232
2025-10-26 NaN 0.006558 0.250769 1.364278 4.098429 9.076390 17.576306
2025-11-02 NaN 0.004309 0.236447 1.372961 4.236193 9.515814 18.600556
2025-11-09 NaN 0.002044 0.208610 1.330347 4.259921 9.757065 19.315809
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001620 0.211681 1.393648 4.517756 10.413637 20.700789
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000848 0.198887 1.397722 4.643895 10.840548 21.725867
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000763 0.208132 1.484704 4.960281 11.611837 23.313880